Secret Telegram
From:
Consul General, Dacca
To:
American Ambassador, Islamabad
Subject: Awami League Apprehensions.
1. Alamgir
Rahman came to see me February 24 at his initiative. In rambling disjointed
conversation he evidenced much of apprehension, confusion and wishful thinking which
increasingly seem to characterize mood of Mujib and his party in face of
growing counter-pressures from
2. Alamgir said
Mujib was placing high hopes on his anticipated forthcoming meeting with
ambassador. Awami League believes US was in considerable part responsible for
encouraging return of democracy to
3. Alamgir
opined Mujib might be willing make compromise on substance of six points but only
if he could win some offsetting concession, even of gimmick nature, which
he could use to justify departure from six points. In this connection Alamgir tossed up possibility of movement of capital to
4. According
Alamgir, Awami League leadership had been convinced
as late as yesterday that Yahya was about to announce delay in convening National Assembly for two months. Awami Leaguers are still apprehensive that Yahya, even while going ahead with March 3
date, will move promptly thereafter to postpone further meetings for several months in view of
non-attendance by West Pak MNAs and lack of consensus on constitution.
Alamgir said such delay would present grave
problems for Mujib because of growing pressure for secession within
Awami League ranks.
5. Alamgir said Mujib had on February 19 asked him to check
out reports
that Pak army was making significant troop dispositions. He hadreported back to Mujib that he found no such evidence. Placement of
anti-aircraft guns around airport and other nearby locations is
viewed by Awami League as primarily psychological move to indicate
to people that air of tension with
6. According Alamgir Mujib had been very circumspect in his February 23
conversation with new Soviet Congen, limiting himself
to expression of determination to proceed with six
point constitution and bland statement that blockage of constitution process
would gravely disappoint Bengalis.
7. Mujib told Alamgir that he was considerably irritated by rumor that
he, Mujib, had had recent meeting with General Westmoreland and tracked down
source of rumor back to Chinese.
8. Comment: As March 3 moment of truth
approaches, Mujib and Awami League leadership appears to be losing some of
their elan and
confidence. Yahya's recent actions in amending LFO to
permit MNAs to resign prior to March 3 and in dissolving
cabinet have clearly puzzled and
worried Awami Leaguers. Mujib must know by now that he has little chance of ramming through six point constitution. On the other hand if he backs down,
his authority in the party will be
seriously undermined. While we remain convinced that ultimate
goal of Awami League is independence, we do not believe that Mujib sees separation now in his own interest
except as I somewhat desperate last
effort. He and his party are casting about for alternative sources of action including, if Alamgir
is to be believed, even launching of Gandhi-like
non-violent movement if
constitutional process is
thwarted.
Blood
Source: