Foreign Relations, Foreign Relations, 1969-1976, Documents on
South Asia, 1969-1972
Released by the Office of the Historian
November 5, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY
THROUGH: S/S
SUBJECT: A. I. D. Deputy Administrator's Report on Pakistan
A. PRESIDENT YAHYA KHAN'S CONTROL IN EAST PAKISTAN IS INCREASINGLY LIMITED
Growing Isolation of President Yahya
Khan. In Islamabad October 27, Ghulam Ishaq Khan, Secretary to the Cabinet, told me that
President Yahya Khan was increasingly isolated from
events in East Pakistan. He believed the Army's reporting from East Pakistan
had been misleading the President about recent developments. The same points,
concerning President Yahya Khan's growing isolation
and misleading reporting from East
Pakistan, were made by M. M.
Ahmad, Economic Advisor to the President.
Autonomous Army Control in East Pakistan.
The Pakistan Army in East Pakistan has achieved nearly autonomous control of the province, in
many respects independent of the policies and direction of President Yahya Khan in Islamabad. Only foreign affairs affecting East Pakistan
is firmly in the hands of Islamabad. The relative isolation of President Yahya
Khan is probably the result of many factors. Indications of this isolation are
that: (a) Army commanders in the East pursue independent military operations,
(b) the Army governs the province behind the facade of the puppet civilian
Governor Malik and his cabinet -- who are completely
dependent on the Army for their personal security -- with limited reference to
Islamabad,
(c) little but Pakistani successes and India's perfidy is reported from Dacca
to Islamabad, and (d) President Yahya Khan lacks
independent means of observation, reporting and verification of events in the
East.
Myth and Reality on Civilian Support in East Pakistan.
President Yahya Khan told us October 28 that
"civilianization" of government in East Pakistan,
under Governor Malik and his Cabinet, is succeeding
in stabilizing the political situation. According to Yahya
Khan, when elections have filled the vacated Awami
League Assembly seats, "political accommodation" for a loyal
provincial government will have been completed. Although the Army openly runs
these elections, Yahya Khan believes the political
stability after elections will assure that India's strategy of supporting insurrection will have been
defeated -- and that Mrs. Gandhi will then have nothing in hand to achieve her
objectives except recourse to war. The myth of growing political stability in East Pakistan
is almost certainly fed to Yahya Khan by reports from
his civilian Governor and his Army commanders.
The reality is that Army policies and operations -- behind the facade of a
civilian government -- are progressively and seriously alienating the Bengali
population in East. Pakistan, and that the seeds of rebellion are not
only those sown by India.
The wide gap between the myth of growing stability as seen by Yahya Khan, and the reality of political deterioration was
most striking from comparing my recent visit to East Pakistan,
October 21 - 26, to observations made during the earlier August 19 - 25 trip.
B. PAKISTAN ARMY POLICY AND OPERATIONS IN EAST PAKISTAN
Civil
Affairs Run by the Military Advisor to the Governor. Major General Rao Farman Ali Khan is the Army's
civil affairs specialist with ten years service in the East. As Military
Advisor, he sits in the Governor's House and runs the Province on behalf of the
Governor. My call on General Farman Ali Khan October
25th interrupted a meeting with some ten of his military colleagues. They were,
he said, selecting the men who would be elected in the next Provincial
elections.
Army
Policy is Selective Terror and Reprisal. General Farman
Ali Khan described the level of Mukti guerrilla
insurgency as some-what intensified but manageable because the newly trained
Bengali guerrillas entering from India feared to take action. Over 1, 400 guerrillas had entered
Dacca district in the last 30 days but only a few had chosen to
fight. He acknowledged, off-the-record, that this was due to the terroristic reprisal policy. He also acknowledged that
terror and reprisal had an "unfortunate effect on Bengali attitudes. " But he said, "all Army commanders had
concluded that insurgency was more of a problem in areas where the Army had
been too lenient and had not demonstrated clean-up operations.
"
The
Pakistan Army is one of the best disciplined and professional infantry forces
in the world. Despite orders from Islamabad that the Army not engage in terrorist operations against
the civilian population -- and repeated assurances to U. S. officials to this effect -- Pakistan Army commanders
continue to carry out terror raids against the population and villages, even
within the environs of Dacca and in sight of its large foreign community.
Increasing Chaos in Rural East Pakistan.
General Farman All Khan said the Army sought to leave
the fighting of the Mukti guerrillas to the newly
armed Bengali "Rasikars", who now numbered
60, 000. He acknowledged that "Rasikars" --
raised as village levies for guard duty with only ten days training,
and without NCOs or officers -- did not constitute a disciplined force.
However,
the "Rasikars" are a destabilizing element
-- living off the land, able to make life and death decisions by denouncing
collaborators and openly pillaging and terrorizing villagers without apparent
restraint from the Army. With villagers caught between the Rasikars
and Mukti guerrillas, law and order is breaking down
rapidly in rural East Pakistan. Hence, the rural population is moving either to the
cities which' e now over populated or going to India. The flow of Muslum refugees to India has recently increased -- many of them small land-holders
and farmers who are normally the more stable political elements.
Army
Policy to Clear East Pakistan of Hindus . The Pakistan Army is
ideologically anti-Hindu and their historic experience in West Pakistan,
from the time of partition, has been that Hindus should go to India. Hence, reprisal operations naturally continue to focus
against Hindus. Without law or order, except that sanctioned by the Army, Hindu
lives and property are not safe in East
Pakistan today.
General
Farman All Khan accepted the estimate that at least
80 percent of the Hindus had left East
Pakistan. He, off-the-record,
spoke of about six million refugees who had gone to India and he anticipated that a further 1, 500, 000 refugees
would probably go to India "before the situation settles down.
" (1, 500, 000 is a reasonable estimate of the number of Hindus
still in East Pakistan.)
C.
FORM AND CONTENT OF YAHYA KHAN'S DIPLOMACY
With
the Army's autonomous control in East
Pakistan, President Yahya Khan's role affecting the
Eastern
Province appears to be primarily in foreign affairs, including the
managing of the U.S. relationship. All official American suggestions are
immediately taken seriously and lead to major policy statements by President Yahya Khan in Islamabad. The result is "public relations diplomacy", but
it is important not to confuse the form with the substance of policy.
Elections, political accommodation, welcoming the return of all refugees,
amnesty -- these are fine policy pronouncements, but their implementation is in
the hands of the Army commanders who govern the
Eastern
Province, and these Army commanders do not as yet appear subject to
foreign influences.
Maurice J. Williams
Source: Document 152, E - 7, South Asia crisis 1971, Department of State.