Secret

November 12, 1971

Memorandum for the President

From: Henry A. Kissinger

 

Subject : Maury Williams' Views on Pakistan

 

As you know, Maury Williams has just returned from a trip to Paki­

stan. It was from Dacca that he reported his conclusion that we had succeeded in averting a nation-wide famine in East Pakistan. Since his return, he has written the attached memorandum containing his views on the broader situation there. They are disturbing and I think you should see them.          .

 

His main points in brief are that President Yahya has only decreasing control over his government's policy in East Pakistan because the Pakistan Army there is "nearly autonomous". The Army's policy is such that the running battle with guerrillas is likely to continue with little effect on the changing practices in a way that could restore genuine civilian government.

 

Williams' reasoning follows:

 

--Two key advisers to President Yahya told Williams that Yahya is increasingly isolated from events in East Pakistan.

--The Pakistan army in East Pakistan is operating in many re­spects independent of the policies and direction of President Yahya. The recently appointed civilian government is really run by a major general who is the military advisor to the governor.

--Only foreign affairs is firmly in the hands of Islamabad. What this means is that all official American suggestions are taken seriously in Islamabad and lead to major policy state­ments by President Yahya. Their implementation is in the hands of army commanders in the East who are not subject to foreign influence.

--The reality, in East Pakistan is that army policies and operation,~ - behind the facade of a civilian governor - are pro­

and seriously alienating the Bengali population. Despite orders from Islamabad that the army not engage in terrorist operations against the civilian population - and re­peated assurances to US officials to this effect - Pakistan army commanders continue to carry out terror raids against the population and villages. With villagers caught between the army and local vigilantes on the one hand and the guer­rillas on the other, law and order is breaking down rapidly in rural East Pakistan. The rural population is moving either to the cities or to India.

--The military has picked the candidates for the by-elections to fill vacant assembly seats. (More than 70% of the candidates have already been declared "uncontested and elected.") --Reprisal operations continue to focus against Hindus.

 

These observations suggest that it may be time to add a new chapter in our strategy toward Pakistan. The strategy laid out in August for trying to reduce the flow of refugees by humanitarian assistance has worked to the extent that we have helped stave off a major famine and therefore a major new flood of refugees. That strategy has re­vealed, however, that the current level of refugees stems not from hunger but from a continuing deterioration of local order as the rural population is caught between the guerrillas and the army along with its local allies.

 

If President Yahya's own electoral process and the practices of his army will not win wide enough support to defuse the guerrilla cam­paign, the question then arises what other political steps he might take to establish a viable political alternative to the guerrillas' de­mand for independence. Unless he can devise such steps, he may face the prospect of losing East Pakistan in a war which could have repercussion for the integrity of West Pakistan as well.

 

 

Source: Bangladesh Liberation War and the Nixon House 1971, Enayetur Rahim and Joyce L. Rahim, Pustaka Dhaka, p – 356 - 358